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View Full Version : Our Extinction Problem May Be Far, Far Worse Than We Think


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08-11-2015, 06:24 PM
The sharp decline of land snail species in Hawaii may have frightening implications for the extinction rates of animals worldwide.

A multinational team of researchers argue that because the International Union for Conservation of Nature's Red List (http://www.iucnredlist.org) -- often cited as the authority on extinct and endangered species worldwide -- does not look at most invertebrates, it presents a skewed picture of extinction rates, portraying them as much lower than they are.

"The focus on birds and mammals and the proportionately negligible assessment of invertebrates masks a real crisis," the researchers write in a paper published in the journal Conservation Biology (http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/cobi.12565/abstract) in July.

Fewer than 1 percent of invertebrates worldwide (http://www.nature.com/news/one-fifth-of-invertebrate-species-at-risk-of-extinction-1.11341)have even been evaluated by the IUCN. Yet invertebrates constitute 95 to 99 percent of animal species (http://nationalzoo.si.edu/Animals/invertebrates/facts/default.cfm), including insects, worms, snails and crustaceans -- meaning there's a lot of species that haven't been assessed.

The researchers note that the IUCN standards for evaluating invertebrate species are so stringent that assessing many of them is virtually impossible -- a problem that’s been pointed out by other scientists in the past.

In order to estimate the gap between extinction rates reported by the IUCN and real extinction rates, the researchers set out to conduct their own comprehensive survey of 325 known Hawaiian land snail species and compare their findings with the numbers listed by the IUCN.

While the IUCN cites 33 Hawaiian land snail species as extinct, the newer study concludes there are 131 extinct species. Extinction rates haven’t been constant, researchers say, but have risen in connection with periods of habitat destruction and introductions of invasive species by humans.

In a study published in February (http://www.pnas.org/content/112/25/7761.full), some of the same researchers had partnered with other scientists around the world to calculate that around 10 percent of a sample of 200 known land snail species worldwide had gone instinct. Of these 200 species, only nine had been evaluated on the IUCN Red List, and three of those nine were extinct.

The earlier group of scientists extrapolated from those data to estimate that 130,000 species worldwide may now be extinct, as opposed to the 800 species recognized by the IUCN.

Robert Cowie, a University of Hawaii researcher who worked on both studies, admits that such an extrapolation isn't perfect.

"It's a bit of a leap of faith, I admit," he told The Washington Post (http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/morning-mix/wp/2015/08/11/study-of-land-snails-suggests-earth-may-have-already-lost-7-percent-of-its-animal-species/). "We just have to wave our arms around and say that's the best we can do."

Even if the extrapolated numbers are not totally accurate, Cowie said, the overall point is that the number of extinct species worldwide is likely much higher than estimated by the IUCN.

"We're not criticizing ICUN, they're not set up to estimate the number of species," he told the Post. "The point of the paper is to say, the vast, vast majority of invertebrates has not been assessed."

Contact the author of this article at Hilary.Hanson@huffingtonpost.com. 
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